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What might it be like?
Past examples of magnitude 4 and above earthquakes:
Magnitude
With current levels of seismic activity the chance of an earthquake of magnitude 4 or more happening in this area between
4 May 2025 <-> 11 May 2025 is:0.1%
Imagine 100,000 areas with exactly the same chance of an earthquake as this one.
Within the week of 4 May 2025 <-> 11 May 2025 with a 0.1% chance we would expect:
An earthquake of magnitude 4+ to happen in 100 of them
No earthquake of magnitude 4+ to happen in 99900 of them
How to survive an earthquake
Click here for useful tips on what to do before, during, and after an earthquake.
Explanation for this forecast:
There has been no significant seismic activity in Norcia-S. However, an earthquake can always occur with no warning.
Click here to find out more...What can I do with this information?
Earthquake forecasts are much less certain than weather forecasts as we cannot see what is happening underground, but they can give useful information to those making decisions.
Click here to find out more...Responsibilty: Civil Protection n.327 347684
Emergency number: Call 112